Basel was so close to get a result in Bulgaria despite having a man sent off in the 18th minute … but lost in injury time and now badly need a win if they want a chance to reach the 2nd place in the group. Basel looked pretty good in last two games, 3-1 vs Wohlen and 2-0 vs Grasshoppers in Switzerland. For today FC Basel will play without Streller, Die and Ivanov. Walter Samuel is questionable.
Bet on Basel – Ludogorets with the best under / over Champions League odds at William Hill.
Ludogorets in very good form with 4 consecutive wins in all competition … and in the last three they kept a clean sheet. Their Champions League performance was also remarkable … close 1-2 defeats vs. Liverpool (undeserved) and vs. Real Madrid, than the 1-0 win against Basel. Ludogorets has been lucky all season to be free of injuries and again have all players healthy, and only missing player is Minev, suspended.
I think each team knows exactly how massive this game is and nobody will take risks. Basel needs to win but more importantly they can’t lose … Ludogorets will be content with a draw. Visitors have the ability to defend well in numbers, we saw that vs Liverpool and Real, they also have three clean sheets in a row. When you look that Basel misses key attacking players like Streller, their mission to score will be made that much harder. I see a rugged game, heavy defending … Ludogoerts will defend and Basel with their experience know they can’t go all out attack and risk counterattacks. Even if somebody goes 1-0 up, the team that is down will try to get back into the game with caution. So my tip will be under 2,5 goals on this match. You can see that the odds for this bet are dropping and I don’t think we will see anything more than 1.85 come match time. Correct score prediction: FC Basel – Ludogorets Razgrad 1-0.
Pick: under 2,5
Odds: 1.91
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