Ukraine hosts Macedonia after the hosts got a big 2-0 win in Belarus. Euro 2016 group C also contains Slovakia and Spain as qualification contenders. It was a great recovery for Ukraine to beat Belarus in a hard road game … in the first match in the group Ukraine lost 1-0 at home to Slovakia, a surprising result because Ukraine has become a top team recently.
If you Look at Ukraine-s matches since 2013 the stats are excellent … 14 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses … almost qualified for the World Cup after 2-0 and 0-3 with France. Ukraine`s defense is top class, they have kept a clean sheet in 11 of the last 14 matches and also have the talent to score the goals they need to win. Hosts are a really good team right now in Europe and today in L’viv they will not only fight for 3 crucial points but also for the country which is in a bad situation as we all know.
There is no other way to put it except to say that Macedonia is playing horrible football and has a really poor team, no chance for them to hope for Euro 2016. Visitors won 3-2 at home vs Luxembourg in the 92nd minute and not only that, but the statistics were dead even in terms of goal chances. It was first win for Macedonia in 6 games … they lost over 60% of their last 16 games. Here are some other stats: Macedonia did not win away from home since 2011 … last 17 matches away from home where 12 losses and 5 draws. Macedonia’s task today will be made even harder by the losses of Ibraimi and Demiri after the game with Luxembourg … 2 very important players for them.
Stats are not everything but looking at the above presented facts it is hard to argue against a solid Ukrainean win today. And besides stats, whoever watched Ukraine knows that this team can play football. There are a lot of differences between the two teams and all of them favor Ukraine. I expect Ukraine to win and cover the handicap … odds are they will not concede a goal (have an air tight defense) and over the 90 minutes there is every chance they will get at least two goals. My tip will be Ukraine to win and cover the 1,25 goal asian handicap. Correct score prediction: Ukraine – Macedonia 2-0. I trust this prediction with maximum stakes.
Pick: Ukraine (-1,25 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 1.85
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